Strong Growth, Limited Upside: UBS Initiates 'Neutral' Coverage On Coforge — Check Target Price UBS has launched coverage on Coforge with a Neutral rating and a target price of Rs 1,240, citing the company’s strong growth history but highlighting concerns about its acquisition-driven strategy and positioning in the AI-driven IT services sector. The brokerage acknowledges Coforge’s consistent execution, with revenue growth driven by a mix of organic momentum and acquisitions. The company has historically delivered double-digit growth, supported by significant deal wins and client additions. However, UBS notes that much of this growth has already been reflected in the stock’s valuation. The stock has seen a sharp rerating in recent years, and while valuations remain reasonable on certain metrics, the risk-reward balance at current levels limits further upside. The brokerage suggests that investors should approach the stock with caution, as the potential for additional gains appears constrained. Coforge continues to benefit from a robust order book and strong client pipeline, particularly in sectors like BFSI, travel, and insurance. The company has also demonstrated its ability to scale through acquisitions, expanding both its capabilities and geographic reach. Despite this, UBS flags acquisition-related risks as a key concern. The recent Encora deal, for instance, is expected to result in equity dilution of around 20%, raising worries about integration challenges, margin pressures, and execution risks. The brokerage notes that the acquisition is unlikely to be earnings-per-share (EPS)-accretive in the short term unless Coforge can deliver stronger-than-expected growth and synergies. In terms of AI positioning, UBS evaluates Coforge using its proprietary VECTOR framework, which assesses companies on AI readiness.#ubs #motilal_oswal #coforge #encora #bfsi
