Rodolfo Bellato vs. Luke Fernandez prediction, odds, pick for UFC 326 The UFC 326 Early Prelims feature a Light Heavyweight (205) matchup between Brazil’s Rodolfo Bellato and New Jersey’s Luke Fernandez. Bellato, a seasoned veteran with a 12-3-1 record, faces off against Fernandez, a debutant with an undefeated 6-0 pro record. The event takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, marking Fernandez’s UFC debut following his first-round knockout win at Dana White’s Contender Series. Bellato, who joined the UFC in 2022, has struggled to find consistency since his debut. His recent performance included a loss to Navajo Stirling, a draw against Jimmy Crute, and a no-contest ruling against Paul Craig. Despite his aggressive style, characterized by powerful right hands and quick left jabs, Bellato’s record in the UFC has been mixed. Standing at 6-foot-3 with a 77.5-inch reach, he aims to bounce back from his recent setbacks. Fernandez, by contrast, enters the fight with a perfect record and a strong resume. His victory over Rafael Pergentino at the Contender Series showcased his ability to finish fights quickly, with a TKO in the first round. A former Cage Fury FC titleholder, Fernandez brings technical striking and a lower stance to the octagon, making him a difficult target. At 6-foot-1 with a 76.5-inch reach, he seeks to make an immediate impact on the UFC stage. The odds for the fight are set at +190 for Bellato and -230 for Fernandez, with the over 1.5 rounds line at -125 and under 1.5 rounds at -105. Analysts highlight Bellato’s hunger for a win after his recent string of controversial outcomes, while Fernandez’s fresh perspective and technical edge could give him an advantage. Predictions suggest a close, action-packed contest.#ufc_326 #t_mobile_arena #luke_fernandez #rodolfo_bellato #dana_white_s_contender_series
UFC 326: Luke Fernandez vs. Rodolfo Bellato Set for March 7 Clash Luke Fernandez will face Rodolfo Bellato at UFC 326 on Saturday, March 7, 2026, at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The event will feature a matchup between two fighters with contrasting styles and records. Fernandez, a 30-year-old orthodox striker weighing 205 lbs and measuring 6'1", enters the fight with a perfect 6-0-0 record. Bellato, also 30, stands at 6'3" and carries a 12-3-1 (1 NC) record, with a career highlight of 12-3-1. The odds favor Fernandez at -215, while Bellato is listed at +185. Fernandez’s striking prowess is evident in his statistics, as he lands 32 significant strikes per minute with 100% accuracy. His defensive capabilities are equally impressive, as he deflects all significant strikes aimed at him. In contrast, Bellato connects on 5.13 significant strikes per minute with 59% accuracy but allows 5.86 strikes per minute. Bellato’s reach is slightly shorter than Fernandez’s, at 75 inches compared to 76 inches. The fighters’ grappling skills also differ. Fernandez takes opponents to the mat 0.65 times per 15 minutes, with a 10% success rate in takedowns and 10% takedown defense. Bellato, however, dominates in this category, securing 35% of his takedowns and defending 94% of attempts against him. Bellato’s submission attempts are also more frequent, with 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds, compared to Fernandez’s 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds. Fernandez’s recent performance against Rafael Pergentino showcased his dominance. In a first-round finish, Fernandez landed 8 of 8 significant strikes, while Pergentino connected on none of his attempts. Bellato’s last fight ended in a unanimous decision loss to Navajo Stirling, where Stirling landed 81 of 158 significant strikes, compared to Bellato’s 62 of 111.#ufc_326 #t_mobile_arena #las_vegas #luke_fernandez #rodolfo_bellato
Luke Fernandez makes his UFC debut against Rodolfo Bellato at UFC 326 Luke Fernandez is set to make his official debut in the UFC during the prelims of UFC 326, facing Rodolfo Bellato. The 30-year-old Brazilian fighter earned his UFC contract after a first-round knockout victory on Dana White’s Contender Series in October 2025. Bellato, meanwhile, has struggled in the UFC, posting a 1-1-1 record with a no-contest since joining the promotion in 2023. His recent three-fight skid includes a decision loss, a no-contest, and a draw, leaving him without a win since December 2023. Fernandez, a 6-0 prospect with five knockouts since starting his MMA career in March 2023, appears poised for a strong debut. His power and striking ability have been highlighted by his knockout streak, and he has trained with former Light Heavyweight Champion Alex Pereira, further signaling his potential as a future contender at 205 pounds. Bellato, though taller at 6’3″ compared to Fernandez’s 6’1″, has a slight reach advantage (76″ vs. 75″), but his recent performance suggests he may lack the necessary tools to overcome Fernandez’s aggression and precision. The fight is listed as a -218 favorite for Fernandez on DraftKings Sportsbook, with Bellato as a +180 underdog. The contest is priced at -340 to go the distance and +240 to end in a judges’ decision. The over/under for rounds is set at 1.5, with the over available at -125. Given Fernandez’s power and his tendency to finish fights, the best bet is to back him at -105 to win by knockout, technical knockout, or disqualification. His track record of ending fights quickly, combined with Bellato’s recent struggles, makes a decisive finish a strong possibility.#ufc_326 #luke_fernandez #rodolfo_bellato #dana_white #alex_pereira
